Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts

Friday, August 15, 2025

DC Strong!

Waiting for a Metro Train with just another group of people here in DC traumatize by the rampant violence and disrespect for the rule of the law in our nation's capital.  Oh, wait, that was on January 6, 2020!  

Someone must have had a bad dream...

 

Thursday, May 8, 2025

Habemus Papam!: Pope Leo XIV

 Robert Francis Prevost, Cardinal Deacon of Santa Monica, Prefect of the Dicastery of Bishops, President of the Pontifical Commission for Latin America, and Titular Cardinal Bishop of Albano, 4th from the top in hierarchy of the Holy Roman Apostalic and Catholic Church  entered the conclave with 132 other Cardinals this humble servant and exited just two days later at Pope Leo XIV.  

You know the last Leo, Leo the 13th, reigned from 1878 to 1903, when he died at the age of 93!  Perhaps the gift of longevity was also in Cardinal Prevost's mind when he selected the name Leo.  If he were to emulate the lifespan of his most recent namesake predecessor, his rule could last until the year of our Lord, 2049!  

It's been said, though, that it is his admiration of the emphasis Pope Leo XIII placed upon the plight of the poor in the midst of the abject poverty that the industrial revolution created.  He, having been born in 1810, would certainly have seen the paradigm shift from rural to urban and the failed promise of work with fair compensation.  In particular, Pope Leo XIII's encyclical "rerum novarum" which took on the obligation governments had to treat the working class with fairness and the dignity due their labors.

That said, tomorrow (which is already a lot closer in Rome than it is in Washington, DC) the real work begins.  Among the first thing to take note of is where he will choose to reside.  Famously, Pope Francis eschewed the pomp of the Papal Palace in favor of a more modest abode in the Vatican Guest House.  It was a significant gesture in light of the criticisms of the church's excesses.  I've also heard commentators place importance on the new Pope's first foreign visit.  On this score, I have a MONUMENTAL DREAM.

The fact that he is being called the Pope from the United States (when in fact he holds dual citizenship with Peru) has given President Trump an adversary to conquer.  Trump is so ignorant.  He has no idea what he's up against, but he can't stand to play second fiddle to anyone!  He has the gall to announce that he's looking forward to meeting the new Pope.  Like he's gonna go downstairs and say "hey" to the new cook.  

So back to my Dream: I would love it if Pope Leo the XIV would announce that his first foreign visit would be to El Salvador.  That his mission there would be to visit that fucking notorious prison, and offer a mass to the inmates.  Furthermore, he would provide passage for Kilmar Abrego Garcia to return to the United States in his company, and then meet with President Trump and perform his second foreign Mass in Washington, DC.  Now, THAT WOULD BE BRILLIANT!

Saturday, April 5, 2025

May I Predict a Shellacking?

 I apologize in advance.  This may be a bit long-winded.  

FACT: Donald Trump won the 2024 Presidential Election with a total of 77,302,580 votes.  This gave him 49.8% of all votes cast, leaving Harris with 48.3% or 75,017,613 votes.  When you break this down around the total number of eligible voters in the country, it gives both candidates percentages of just over and just under 30% respectively.  The reality is that Donald Trump was elected by 30.1% of the eligible voting public.  That's hardly a mandate, and it's certainly NOT a majority of Americans.  

I'm NOT suggesting that his election is in any way illegitimate.  He IS our president.  However, his agenda is a MINORITY agenda.  And like any majority agenda, the pendulum will swing. 
 
We have some really good evidence of this just 3 months into Trump's second term.  1) a landslide victory of a liberal justice in Wisconsin, whose opponent went out of their way to be the voice and face of President Trump in the Race.  2) Two house seats in deeply Republican districts in Florida where in November Republican candidates won with 30% and 31% margins, are retained; however the margins were slightly more than cut in half at 14.6% and 14% respectively.  And 3), Trumps choice for Ambassador to the United Nations, New York Representative Elisa Stefanik withdrawals her nomination because a replacement election is deemed too risky now, with only a 3 seat margin for Republican in the House of Representatives.  Stefanie won her seat with a margin of 25%.  

Everyone who thinks that Elise fell on her own sword, please, raise your hand...  Exactly.  

Would it surprise you to know that there are 76 seats held by Republicans in the House of Representatives where the margin of victory is less than 24%?  Here's one better, more realistic; there are 36 with margins of 14.6% or less?  These are the golden seats.  All the Democrats will need in November of 2026 is 4! 
 
Now, every state is different, and 19 months is a long time.  However, everything we can see and say of this administration is that it will be 19 months of discrimination, inflation and alienation.  They've already shut the doors of equality to Gays, African Americans, Muslims, Hispanics, Government workers, all of those who depend on Government support, and a trade war that will have devastating effects on small business owners, farmers, and skyrocketing inflation that will effect EVERYONE.  For every newscast that features a faithful Trumper, there's another with someone admitted to buyer's remorse.  

Seats likely to switch:

STATE - SEAT - Margin of Republican victory in 2024

ALASKA - At Large - 2.0%
ARIZONA - 1 - 3.8%
ARIZONA - 2 - 9.0%
CALIFORNIA - 3 - 10.0%
CALIFORNIA - 22 - 6.8%
CALIFORNIA - 41 - 3.4%
COLORADO - 3 - 5.0%
COLORADO - 4 - 11.6%
COLORADO - 5 - 12.8%
COLORADO - 8 - 0.8%
FLORIDA - 7 - 13.0%
FLORIDA - 13 - 9.6%
FLORIDA - 15 - 12.4%
IOWA - 1 - 0.2%
IOWA - 3 - 3.8%
MICHIGAN - 4 - 11.7%
MICHIGAN - 10 - 6.1%
MONTANA - 1 - 7.7%
NEBRASKA - 2 - 1.8%
NEVADA - 2 - 10%
NEW JERSEY - 7 - 5.4%
NEW YORK - 1 - 10.4%
NEW YORK - 17 - 6.4%
NEW YORK - 19 - 2.2%
NORTH CAROLINA - 11 - 13.6%
OHIO - 15 - 13.0%
PENNSYLVANIA - 1 - 12.8%
PENNSYLVANIA - 7 - 1.0%
PENNSYLVANIA - 8 - 1.6%

PENNSYLVANIA - 10 - 1.2%
TEXAS - 15 - 14.2%
VIRGINIA - 1 - 12.8%
VIRGINIA - 2 - 3.8%
WISCONSIN - 2 NEW SEATS



I know you pessimists are saying, it'll never happen.  The sky is just going to continue falling...  Look at the last one.  Wisconsin is about to redraw its congregational districts in a way that will all but guarantee two seats will flip.  In a contest with a margin of 1 seat, there are more likely possibilities than there are ways to screw them up.  With the chaos created by both government employees and military cuts AND an unpopular Republican governor in Virginia, I would bet both of these seats will flip.  If the races just completed in Florida indicate the amount of disillusion in the sunshine state, then there are 3 more seats.  And on and on it goes.  This also bodes well for the Senate.  More thoughts on that to come.  

Friday, April 4, 2025

My 2 cents: Wisconsin's State Supreme Court Election

Full Disclosure: I'm a registered Democrat.  In my state, you have to be to make a difference in the outcome of any election.  I consider myself both a progressive and a liberal; however, I believe in fiscal accountability, and on a local level rail against higher taxes for stupid shit like hiring a Chaplin for our city's Police and Fire departments.  I'm sorry.  If you need spiritual support, join a church, synagogue or temple.  It's not like you could throw a stone and hit one of them around here!  My first time out of the box, I voted for Ronald Reagan, and do not regret it.  Different times, different issues.  

What we have presently in charge is a true Shit Show.  The most corrupt President ever calling everyone else corrupt like a child on an elementary school playground.  Hell, he doesn't even understand how tariffs work, but he soon will...

The tides always turn.  The more crazy the individual, the sooner the shift happens.  Yesterday's Wisconsin State Supreme Court victory for the liberal judge by a landslide margin of 10% coupled with the GOP's pulling the plug on the nomination of House Leadership Member Elise Stefanik of upstate New York to be our Ambassador to the United Nations because they are too worried about holding that seat is very telling.

Stefanik won her seat just 5 months ago with a 24.2% margin--amazing.  And now it's too vulnerable to risk a special election over?  

Wednesday, February 14, 2024

U.S. Federal Courts: Review #1

INTRODUCTION

Federal Courts are my passion--correction, one--just one--of my passions.  Putting Judges into seats across the 94 District, 13 Appellate and 1 Supreme Courts of the Federal System that look like the rest of the United States is a dream coming true under President Biden.  What one would have hoped had been true of President Obama's appointments only now is coming to pass with President Biden. It's seems that President Obama was constrained by a fear of "scaring the horses".  President Biden, with the gift of mortality staring him squarely in the face, has no problem burning the goddamned barn down.  

Within the system we all know that there are just 9 seats on the Supreme Court.  Moving down to the Appellate Courts, there are 179 seats across 11 Circuits, the District of Columbia and the Federal Appeals Court.  The first level of Federal Courts are the District Courts of the 11 Circuits and the District of Columbia home to 677 seats.  That means that all told within these three levels of the Amendment III Federal Courts there are 865 full-time judgeships with one thing in common: every Judge is subject to confirmation by the United States Senate.

Within many states are Districts that subdivide the state into two or more geographic districts.  Of the 50 states plus DC and 4 territories; 24 are divided.  The least populated state to be subdivided is West Virginia.  The most subdivisions within any state are 4 found in California, Texas and New York.  The largest state without subdivisions is New Jersey.  So population alone is no indicator for how or why states are subdivided.

WHAT IS BROKEN ... EVENTUALLY, NEEDS FIXED

One of my favorite anomalies is a comparison between Maryland and Louisiana.  Both states have mid-sized populations sizes: Maryland approximately 6,180,000 (2023) and Louisiana approximately 4,574,000 (2023).  However, Maryland's is larger by over 1,500,000 people.  You might expect that both states would at the very least have similar sized Federal judiciaries.  But they do not.

Maryland is a single District in spite of its geographic challenges (the western mountains, the eastern shore).  Louisiana has 3 Districts (only the Mississippi River seems to be a geographic barrier).  Maryland has 10 seats.  Louisiana as a combined 22 seats.  No matter how you cut it, there's no logical or rational reason for the disparity that doesn't land firmly on some degree of historic and racist foundation.  In practical terms it means that there is one Federal Judge for every 618,000 Marylanders, compared to one Federal Judge for every 216,091 Louisianans.  Are citizens of Louisiana 3 times more likely of committing a Federal Crime?  

So the system needs an honest overhaul apart from political influences and racists paradigms.  Don't hold your breath.  

STATE VS DISTRICT

While the Districts are independent of one another, and hold equal status in interpreting the United States Constitution and setting possible precedent with their rulings, the road to obtaining a seat by an individual nominee runs through each state's Senatorial delegation.  It matters who's party each Senator is a member of, and how partisan they are.  It's never matter more, given the hyper-partisan state of politics today.

Of the 50 states within the first Congress (2021-2022): 22 were Republican, 6 were split delegations, and 22 were Democratic.  During the first two years of the Biden Administration, 4 Judges were agreed to in both Ohio and Pennsylvania (Split States), and 1 Judge was agreed to in a Republican State, Iowa.

In the 2022 elections, the status of one state shifted: Pennsylvania became a fully Democratic delegation.  Since then, a range of Judges from Republican States have been been agreed to by their Senators.

Confirmed:

  • Idaho - 1 Judge
  • Indiana - 3 Judges
  • Louisiana - 3 Judges
  • Oklahoma - 2 Judges
  • South Carolina - 1 Judge
  • Texas - 1 Judge
Nominated, Awaiting Confirmation:
  • Florida - 4 Nominees
  • Nebraska - 1 Nominee
  • South Dakota - 2 Nominees
  • Texas - 2 Nominees
  • Utah - 1 Nominee
  • Wyoming - 1 Nominee
Open Seats
  • Alabama - 2 Seats
  • Alaska - 1 Seat
  • Arkansas - 1 Seat
  • Florida - 1 Seat
  • Kansas - 1 Seat
  • Louisiana - 1 Seat
  • Mississippi - 1 Seat
  • Missouri - 4 Seats
  • North Carolina - 1 Seat
  • Ohio - 1 Seat
  • Tennessee - 1 Seat
  • Texas - 5 Seats
  • Wisconsin - 1 Seat

Sunday, December 31, 2023

Remembering U.S. Senators Who Passed Into Ancestry In 2023

 You may know that I am a follower of the machinations of the United States Senate.  Often have their live feed on during times of votes and in the evenings when Voice Vote confirmations occur.  Fortunately for me, they spend less than half the year in session!  Never the less, these elected folks are among the most powerful people in our nation.  We ought to know what they are about.  And it's fitting to acknowledge the passing into Ancestry.

Saturday, September 30, 2023

U.S. Sixth Circuit Appellate Courts of the Federal Judiciary

 A three judge panel of the Sixth Circuit Federal Appeals Court landed a decision this week that takes control away from Parents' right to determine their children's medical care.  You would think that on its face this is a red meat, red flag for the Individualist, Boot-strap pulling, Anti-government overreach ethos of the Republican Party.  It's certainly classic Republican dogma; however, the specific issue regards the gender of the children.  This is something that apparently conservative, religious bigots feel they understand better than either the parents of the children in question, or their highly trained professional medical support staff (Doctors, Surgeons, Psychologists, that ilk).  Morality that cherry-picks a "holy book" (any "holy" book/text) is anything but moral.  

This got me thinking, how much do most people even understand how the Federal Appeals Courts work?  I think not many  So lets take on the Sixth Circuit and tear it down to its most basic bones. I will do this by asking and answering a set of simple questions.  And were applicable reference the recent case that started this line of reasoning.  

What is the Sixth Circuit?

The six Circuit is one of 13 Federal Court clusters that are divided into District and Appellate courts for the purpose of adjudicating conflicts with a bearing on Federal Laws and the United States Constitution.  It's decisions are review-able by the U.S. Supreme Court, the Court of Last Resorts.  They may be affirmed or struck down by the Supreme Court.  District courts are were most cases begin.  After a decision is rendered, of the loosing side feels they have just cause to request a review, they appeal the decision to the Appellate Court.  Each circuit has many Districts within it's boundaries, but only one Appeals Court.

Is there one Appeals Court house for each Circuit?

No.  Appellate Judges have chambers in various courthouses throughout the Circuit, most are part of District Court buildings, however, some Appeals Court judges--usually those who have semi-retired into what is called "Senior" status--set up chambers in spaces more convenient to the physical needs and limitations.  

Do all Circuits have the same number of Appellate Judges?

No.  The numbers vary widely.  The First Circuit Appeals Court has 6 Judges, while the Ninth Circuit has 28!  The number depends on historical precedence, case-load, number of subordinate District Courts, etc.  The number of judges is set using a formula that takes a range of such factors into consideration.

Each judge occupies a "seat".  Seats change both by adding more and taken existing seats away.  When a Circuit looses a seat, it only does so after the sitting judge takes Senior Status, Retires, Resigns, or Dies.

How does an Appellate Court Judge get their job?

By Constitutional design, they are nominated by the sitting President, and then Confirmed by a simple majority of the U.S. Senate.  They may maintain their seat on the court as long as want to.  There is no mandatory retirement age; however, there is a formula for assuming a Senior Status which allows the judge to be fully vetted in the retirement system of the courts and continue to serve part-time while accruing additional retirement benefits.

How is the Appellate Court Governed?

Each court, both Appellate and District have a Chief Judge.  They also have various committees and other structures to manage internal decisions and conflict.  The position of Chief Judge is not a political choice.  Rather, it is determine by a formula that involves the ages of all of the active judges occupying one of the appoint full-time seats.  At the time a vacancy happens, the role is offered to the judge within the court who is closest to 65 years of age without going over 65.  Judges who are 66 and older are not allowed to hold the position unless there is no one younger who is available or able to hold the position.  The term of Chief Justice lasts for seven years, and carries very little actual authority.  The seat of the Chief Justice remains in the city of their current seat, so the placement throughout the Circuit of the Chief Judges changes with the Judge.

Applying these ideas to the Sixth Circuit

The Sixth Circuit covers 4 states that are subdivided geographically into 9 Districts.  The number of Full Time Seats in the Sixth Circuit Appeals Court is Sixteen.  All are presently filled.  There are Fourteen Judges working part time in Senior Status; however, one of these judges is presently "inactive".  This is a polite way of saying they are "Dianne Feinstein-ing"--biding their time until death makes the decision to leave for them.  

Specifically, the states and courthouses are:


MICHIGAN

  • Detroit
  • Ann Arbor
  • Lansing
  • Traverse City
OHIO
  • Columbus
  • Cleveland
  • Cincinnati
  • Akron
  • Medina
KENTUCKY
  • Louisville
  • Lexington
  • Covington
  • London
TENNESSEE
  • Memphis
  • Nashville

Now, let us apply the specifics of the Federal Judicial Judges who actually occupy the Active and Senior Status Seats throughout the Circuit.  I will identify the Justice by name, include their status, age, and President who nominated them.

MICHIGAN

  • Detroit
    • Justice Eric L. Clay, 75 - Clinton; 26 years of service
    • Justice Stephanie D. Davis, 56 - Biden; 2 years of service
      • Senior Justice Helene White, 69 - GWBush; 15 years of service
  • Ann Arbor
    • Justice Raymond Kethledge, 57 - GWBush; 15 years of service
    • Justice Joan Larsen, 55 - Trump; 6 years of service
      • Senior Justice Ralph B. Guy Jr., 94 - Reagan; 38 years of service
  • Lansing
      • Senior Justice Richard F. Suhrheinrich, 87 - GHWBush; 33 years of service
      • Senior Justice David McKeague, 77 - GWBush; 18 years of service
  • Traverse City
    • Justice Richard Allen Griffin, 61 - GWBush; 18 years of service
OHIO
  • Columbus
    • Chief Justice Jeffrey Sutton, 63 - GWBush; 20 years of service
    • Justice Chad Readler, 52 - Trump; 4 years of service
    • Justice Eric E. Murphy, 44 - Trump; 4 years of service
    • Justice Rachel Bloomekatz, 41 - Biden; <1 year of service
      • Senior Justice Allen Eugene Norris, 88 - Reagan; 37 years of service
      • Senior Justice R. Guy Cole Jr., 72 - Clinton; 28 years of service
  • Cleveland
    • Justice Karen Nelson Moore, 77 - Clinton; 28 years of service
  • Cincinnati
    • Justice John Nalbandian, 54 - Trump; 5 years of service
  • Akron
      • Senior Justice Deborah L. Cook, 71 - GWBush; 20 years of service
  • Medina
      • Senior Justice Alice M. Batchelder, 79 - GHWBush; 32 years of service
KENTUCKY
  • Louisville
    • Justice John K. Bush, 49 - Trump; 6 years of service
      • Senior Justice Danny Julian Boggs, 79 - Reagan; 35 years of service
  • Lexington
      • Senior Justice John M. Rogers, 75 - GWBush; 21 years of service
  • Covington
    • Justice Amul Thapar, 54 - Trump; 6 years of service
  • London
      • Senior Justice Eugene Edward Siler Jr, 87 - GHWBush; 31 years of service
TENNESSEE
  • Memphis
    • Justice Julia Smith Gibbons, 73 - GWBush; 21 years of service
    • Justice Andre Mathis, 43 - Biden; 1 year of experience
      • Senior Justice Ronald Lee Gilman, 81 - Clinton; 26 years of service
  • Nashville
    • Justice Jane Branstretter Stranch, 70 - Obama; 13 years of service
      • Senior Justice Martha Craig Daughtrey, 81 - Clinton; 30 years of service
When an appeal comes before the Appeals Court, do all of the Judges participate in the opinion?

No.  The appeal is heard by a panel of 3 judges that are randomly chosen from the available pool.  Sometimes, the Chief Justice may intervene to include themselves on the panel, as in this case.  It's one of the few significant powers a Chief Justice has.

And that's is how this case was was decided at the appeals level by these judges:
  • Chief Justice Jeffrey Sutton, 63 - GWBush; 20 years of service
  • Justice Amul Thapar, 54 - Trump; 6 years of service
  • Senior Justice Helene White, 69 - GWBush; 15 years of service
Justices Sutton and Thapar voted for discrimination, and Justice White voted against it.  The majority prevailed.  All three were appointed by Republican Presidents.

This is how the sausage is made.



Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Sweet Home Alabama...

The Republican dominated legislature used the 2020 census to create a blatantly White Supremacist Congressional map for the Federal House of Representatives, and then dared the U.S. Supreme Court to declare it unconstitutional. Twice!

And to the surprise of many a court watcher, the newly Republican biased Supreme Court said, "Y'all, this a one burning cross too far. No." Twice!

So now the Rethuglicans in the Alabama legislature no longer hold any cards in this gambit to keep power in a most conniving and undemocratic manner. It is up to the judge who found their shenanigans unconstitutional in the first...and second, places to restore a modicum of justice for all the people of Alabama. And here are his choices as drawn up by a pair of special masters. Which one would you choose?
For my money, not knowing crap about the on the ground details, I am inclined to choose bachelor number two. It seems to break up the fewest county-level political entities and so feels the most compact.

Of the new map, no consideration appears to have been given to the existing residences of the current congressional delegation. But most appear to be safe.

  • Dale Strong lives in Huntsville, still the heart of the 5th district
  • Robert Aderholt lives in Haleyville on the border between Marion and Winston counties, both still in the 4th district
  • Mike D. Rogers lives in Weaver in central Calhoun county, now even deeper into the 3rd district with the pick-up of Etowah County from the old 4th.
  • Terri Sewell, who calls Selma home either is or isn't safe depending upon where in Hoover here college Gary Palmer lives.  But even if there is race between the two, it's seems like a very good bet that Sewell keeps her seat.
  • Gary Palmer's fate would seem to depend on whether he lives in Jefferson County or Shelby County as Hoover looks a little like a Roshach ink blot created by folding the two together on their shared county lines.  In the old congressional map, the southern most areas of Jefferson county were carved into the 6th district, which leads one to wonder, since I've seen proposed maps with the hometowns of the representatives highlighted in black which makes me think that this sort of thing was taken into consideration.
  • Jerry L. Carl who lives in Mobile remains within the bounds of the 1st district; however,...
  • Barry Moore who lives in Enterprise is now resident in the eastern realms of the new 1st district.  Unless Moore moves to Montgomery, or Troy or Eufaula, and presuming that he wants to maintain is place in the seat of power, there will be a run-off in his future.
And so the new 2nd district is presently Representative free.  It is also the second African American majority district which fulfills the requirements of the Federal Court decree.  

Looking ahead, the self-same court cases of violating the bare bones remains of the Congressional Voting Rights Act are working their way through the courts in Louisiana, Florida, and South Carolina.  North Carolina's Republic Legislature is poised to go in the same direction, but this ruling will surely give them pause.  I don't think it will stop them, but perhaps it will mitigate their darkest angels' schemes.  Similar cases are brewing in Texas, and in New York their 2020 congressional map which ended up favoring Republicans has been ordered redrawn for violating comparable aspects of the New York State Constitution.

We live in interesting times.













Thursday, December 8, 2022

Celebrating the Diversification of Our Federal Judiciary--WE THE PEOPLE

BY THE NUMBERS

Nine Days - Nine New Judges!
Six Women and Three Men
Four Black, Three White and Two Hispanic
One to serve in Eastern Michigan
Four to serve in Eastern Pennsylvania
One to serve in Minnesota
One to serve in Northern New York
One to serve in Puerto Rico
One to serve in Southern Ohio






Wednesday, December 7, 2022

Freshman Class of U. S. Senators is Set

 With the defeat of Hershel Walker in Georgia, the freshman class of Senators is now set at seven: five Republicans and two Democrats.

The are:

Republican Katie Britt representing Alabama

Republican Ted Budd representing North Carolina

Democrat John Fetterman representing Pennsylvania

Republican Markwayne Mullins representing Oklahoma

Republican Eric Schmitt representing Missouri

Republican J.D. Vance representing Ohio

Democrat Peter Welch representing Vermont

Wednesday, November 16, 2022

The Jury Has Spoken

 Today a Jury of 12 Cis White Men and Women Decided the fate of the loves and the lives of countless millions of Americans whose relationships fall outside of their own.  Once again, we left to be grateful to our oppressors.