Midterm Blue Wave Senate: Mid-Atlantic

 The next stop on my Midterm Senate fantasy tour is the Mid-Atlantic region comprised of seven states: New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, West Virginia, and Virginia.  The same set of demographics as before: Gender, Race/Ethnicity, Religion, Disability and Age.  All of which will form the basis for a diversity index score.  Of the seven states there are only Senate races in 4: New Jersey, Delaware, West Virginia, and Virginia.  In all cases popular incumbents have wide leads.  The result is likely to be zero change from the status quo.  The states of New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland and Virginia are served by two Democratic Senators.  The state of West Virginia is served by two Republican Senators.  This leaves Pennsylvania as an odd bird among states with split representation.

New York's Senior Senator holds the top position for the Democratic Party in the Senate.  Chuck Schumer is an old school politician who has been a member of Congress since 1993.  After nine terms Representing New York City in various districts: 16th, 10th, and 9th District, he ran for Senate in 1998 and defeated Republican firebrand, Al D'Amato.  Venerable hand-shaker/deal-maker, Schumer was elected to the role of Leader of the Senate in 2017.  The Junior Senator was elected to the seat previously held by former First Lady, Hillary Clinton.  In 2019, Kirsten Gillibrand ran in a crowded field for the Democratic nomination for the presidency.  She began her candidacy in March of 2019, and dropped out in August.  She has been particularly passionate about the fare treatment of our military veterans.

Pennsylvania is one of only three states with a divided Senatorial delegation.  The Senior Senator, John Fetter was elected as a maverick in a race against a Trump loyalist and TV Commentator.  The win was the only one Democrats managed to eke out of a Trump windfall year.  His tenure has been marked by recovery from a stroke, opposition to many progressive Democratic ideals, and finally a AWOL status regarding participation in Senate business.  Dave McCorkmick was elected the following year defeating a longtime Democratic incumbent by a narrow margin.  But a win is ALWAYS a win. 

New Jersey's Senior Senator also participated in the Presidential Campaign of 2019.  And like Gillibrand, Corey Booker failed to make the cut.  He is known as an exuberant and even at times excitable present on the floor of the Senate.  His New Jersey partner and Junior Senator was just elected to the seat during the 2024 campaign.  Andy Kim is the only member of the Senate from a Korean ethnic background.  Together they form one of the youngest Senatorial Delegations.

Chris Coons is the Senior Senator from the state of Delaware.  Affiable character on the Senate floor.  You often see him roaming from one group of Senators to another to partake in chit chat.  The Junior Senator, Lisa Blunt Rochester is one of two African American Senators, both of whom were just elected to office in November of 2024.

Maryland is my home!  And I love both of my Senators.  Chris Van Hollen was first elected in 2016.  He's focused on the work of the Department of State, Immmigration Issues, and Constituency Services.  He's also the least wealthy of all the Senators with a net worth that is lower than my own.  Electing Angela Alsobrooks in 2024 was one of my favorite votes.  She is whip smart and brings a perspective to the Senate that it desperately needs.  I'm expecting great things from her.

Virginia's delegation is one of the longest serving duos.  Senior Senator Mark Warner is cruising to re-election.  A businessman with a long reputation of working across the aisle when in the minority.  He is problem solver and a great asset to the Senate.  Junior Senator Tim Kane briefly came to national attention when Hillary Clinton chose him as her running mate in 2015.  Tim is a genial guy who also works across the aisle to craft bi-partisan legislation.

West Virginia was one of the most Blue states for over a century.  One of its most favored "sons" was Senator Robert Byrd who is also the longest serving Senator in the history of the Senate.  When he retired in 2010 after over 51 years of tenure, the current Senior Senator, Shelly Capito was elected breaking the Blue bubble.  She started out as a moderate Republican, and grew with the party to be a mostly "yes" vote to Trump's whims.  I liked her until I learned how many of her own relatives she's managed to get into positions of state and local offices.  The West Virginia bubble turned red in 2022 when Jim Justice was elected.  Junior Senator Jim Justice came to the Senate hot off the Governor's office, and he is the wealthiest person in the Senate with a net worth of about $675,000,000.00.   Money was obtained through the mining of coal and income obtained from the Greenbrier Estate in southern West Virginia.

Index Time:  

By Demographic category

GENDER 4 out of 14 - 29; current score 29 (illustrated by the map)

RACE 4 out of 14 - 29; current score 29

RELIGION 1 out of 14 - 7; current score 7

DISABILITY 0 out of 14 - 0; current score 0

Diversity Index remains at 25.0 as compared to New England's of 8.3

Average age will remain 63.     

Mid-tern Blue Wave Senate: NEW ENGLAND

 My personal fantasy of the United States Senate reflecting the much talked about pending Blue Wave coming in the mid-term elections on November 3, 2026  I'm also looking at the current members of the Senate, and considering a handful of key demographics.  These included: Gender, Race, Religion, and Disability.  I will use these markers to create a diversity index score and then use that score to compare the present Senate with the new Senate, with the current body by region.

In fifth grade we studied the regions of the United States and I have always leaned on the definition of regional clusters which I learned sitting in Mrs. Spores class back in my little hometown in Michigan.  You may feel free to disagree.

NEW ENGLAND

Comprised of 6 states and 12 Senators.  All 12 caucus with the Democrats, though both Vermont (Bernie Sanders) and Maine Angus King) have an independent Senator. There are three races on the ballot from this region in 2026.  One is sure HOLD for the Democrats (Ed Markey) in Massachusetts.  One is a competative open seat in New Hampshire that has found its way onto most pundents TOSS-UP list, but I believe it will reamain Democratic and elect Chris Pappas.  The final one is a vulnerable moderate Republican--one of only two left in the Senate.  Defeating an incumbent is no easy task; however, I think that Democtratic candidate Troy Jackson, can pull this off in Maine.  Maine being one of the first states to report results, the direction of this race will set the stage for the way election eve and the days to come will go.

Maine's Senior Senator, Angus King, is one of only two independents in the Senate.  Calm, Cool, never gets riled up and rarely steps out from behind the curtain.  At 82, it's time for him to retire and leave this seat open in 2030.  Troy Jackson is the unlikely "everyman" to step and salvage the mess after the Democrats' first choice could not out-run his own "everyman" foibles.  

Maggie Hassan is New Hampshire's Senior Senator.  She is sharp witted and ready to fight for the American people's rights as delineated under the auspices of our U.S. Constitution.  I really like her, and full disclosure, she's my top choice to replace Chuck Schumer of NY as Leader of the Senate.  Chris is currently a member of the New Hampshire delegation to the U.S. House of Representatives.  He has served 4 terms beginning with an election victory in 2018.  When he's elected, he will be one of the youngest members of the U.S. Senate.  He will also be the first openly gay male candidate to win a seat in this august and somewhat stodgy body. 

Vermont's Senior Senator is one of the most recognizable names in Democratic politics not only in the United States, but around the world.  His next election is also in 2030, and in spite of his inscrutable passion for all things progressive, it's time for him to pass on the batton, too.  Peter Welch is the Junior senator.  He quiet, behind the scenes and well over shadowed by Sanders, Like Sander's his road to the Senate was paved by many years of service as Vermont's only member of the House of Representatives.

Massachusetts Senior Senator, Elizabeth Warren, is another high profile player in the Senate.  Her passion for economic equality and fiscal turpetude have been the focus of much of her legislative work.  A solid Senator to have.  Ed Markey, at 80, easily rebuffed a much younger insurgent candidate in the primary to earn the opportunity for a second term in the Senate.  He's a shoe in win re-election.  

No campaigns in Rhode Island this year and a set of incumbents who really are a sort of odd couple.  Senior Senator Jack Reed is a quiet, if engaged Senator who rarely makes a speech on the floor of the Senate.  When he does, it's nearly always for a cause affecting our Armed Forces and/or Veterans.  Rather milktoast, a mon avis.  Junior Senator Sheldon Whitehouse is another one of my favorites.  He's a bulldog with bone when it comes to the current Republican regime in the White House.  He regularly visits the floor of the Senate to speak passionately in behalf of fiscal malfeasonce in the Republican party and among its many wealthy supporters and benefactors.  I love this guy.

Senior Senator Richard Blumenthal is another behind the scenes guy--a sort of survivor from the glory days under President Obama.  Up for re-election in 2030, it would be a good time to open up another seat for some fresh blood.  Junior Senator Chris Murphy is very vocal and often plays tag-team with a clutch of younger members of the Senate to stand-up against Republican legislation they feel will have harmful consequences to the American people.  Chris also comes across as having higher political aspirations.  Don't be surprised if you see him run for President in what is sure to be a crowded field at the start.  When he fails to make the grade, I'm equally as certain that his name will be on whomever wins the primary's short list for running mate.  He's a great Senator.  I would be happy to support his run for "higher" office in either role.  

Index Time:  

By Demographic category

GENDER 2 out of 12 - 17; current score 33 (illustrated by the map)

RACE 0 out of 12 - 0; current score 0

RELIGION 2 out of 12 - 17; current score 17

DISABILITY 0 out of 12 - 0; current score 0

Diversity Index drops from 10.4 down to 8.3

Average age will drop by 4 years from 75.2 down to 71.2  

Folger Shakespeare Theatre: Measure for Measure

 "Measure For Measure" is an oddball play.  It's a little like Shakespeare's Frankenstein move, a little bit of this from this play, a little bit of that from this other one over here, etc.  Perhaps, in part, because it is so unpredictable with moments where you are asking yourself is this a comedy or is it a tragedy, I find myself more engaged in the give and take.

With a cast of this exceptional quality, the effort is also rewarded!  The ensemble was led with great sincerity and energy by Renea S. Brown as Isabella, the sister who will do just about anything (and does) in order to obtain a pardon for her brother's life.  Her skill at bringing every word out of her mouth to life really anchored the entire production.  Her brother's been convicted of a crime moral turpitude and is sentenced to death.  Meanwhile, there's a Duke who ups and leaves the city in the charge of his relatives, then disappears.  But he hasn't gone anywhere, he's just disguised as an Abbot.  He's sussing out corruption in the kingdom.  And there is plenty to be found.  The Duke was played with a boyish impishness  by Nathan Darrow.  His roguish good looks aided the presentation.  Other shout outs go to Lee Osorio as the Duke's corrupt cousin, Angelo.  Jonathan Feuer who plays the city's ne'er-do-well wannabe, Lucio --funniest lines/moments in the play go to him.  What also set Feuer apart was his complete mastery of the physical gesture: a turn of his head, a movement of his hand or even a finger to punctuate a line.  And finally to Chinai Routte who played Mistress Overdone/Francisca the town's 'overdone' madame--another source of much humor.  

This is the second time I've seen "Measure For Measure" performed on stage.  In spite of the excellent cast, the oddities of the characterizations (not as they were acted) as they were written persist and bloom primarily in the character of the Duke, who at times is inexplicably cruel to Isabella, whom he secretly loves.  It's capricious and brings us to one of the most odd endings.  Almost like a reprise of "As You Like It"'s mass marriage celebration, but with bizarre, unsettling twists like a post-nuptial promise to execute one of the grooms and then an odd pardon with the punishment transferring to the marriage itself...  The roller coaster ride is just too jerky for me, but I guess Shakespeare did alright by himself in the long run...

Isabella's (Renea S. Brown) first attempt to change Angelo's (Lee Osorio) mind regarding his decree to execute her brother, Claudio

A plea that eventually leads to a liaison between the two, then Angelo betrays his promise to free Claudio post-tryst.

Three of the town's "up-standing" citizens discussing the Duke's sudden disappearance at the pending state of affairs under the joint leadership of Angelo and Escalus.  L-R: Froth (John Sygar), Lucio (Jonathan Feuer), and Elbow (Ryan Sellers)

Mistress Overdone (Chinai Routte) with her side-kick in mischief, Pompey (Ahmad Kamal)

Isabella meets the mysterious friar (Nathan Darrow), a.k.a. the Duke in disguise, at the prison while visiting her brother.

A subsequent meeting, this time involving Lucio, as the "Friar" continues to explore the depth and scope of the corruption in the city.

Isabella speaks to the Duke (Nathan Darrow) upon his return as Escalus (Holly Twyford) looks on.

In the final moments, members of the ensemble come together to have their "truths" revealed before the Duke who begins the sorted process of adjudicating all the wrongs and rewarding all the good eggs.  L-R: Monk (Ryan Sellers), the Duke (Nathan Darrow), Angelo (Lee Osorio), Escalus (Holly Twyford), Marianna--Angelo's estranged betrothed (Renee Elizabeth Wilson) and the Provost (Sean Fri)

A final scene where the Duke proposes matrimony to Isabella and she renounces her religious vows to accept.  L-R: Marianna, Angelo, the Duke, Isabella, the Provost, Claudio (Jaben Early) and Juliet (Maryanne Henderson).  In the performance I saw, the role of Claudio was played by James Stringer, Jr. Jaben Early's understudy.

Election 2026: The Final 30 Days, Post 1

ELECTION 2026

When the dust settles and the historians begin to record the machinations that defined this mid-term election, Mid-term Redistricting will certainly hold a place of pre-eminence.  Another unprecedented move thunk up by President Trump and his Fascist minions.  What the initial result looked like was a net gain by the Republican Party of 15 seats.  With a margin of 3 votes, the plan was a way to extend the Republican safety net over control of the House of Representatives.

9 states with Republican majorities starting most notably with Texas drank the Kool-aide.  2 states legislatures rejected the move: Indiana and South Carolina.  7 states moved forward creating the aforementioned 15 seats.

TEXAS - 5

FLORIDA - 4

NORTH CAROLINA - 2

ALABAMA - 1

OHIO - 1
TENNESSEE - 1

MISSOURI - 1

6 states with Democratic majorities starting most notably with California retaliated in kind.  2 states legislatures rejected the move: Michigan and New York.  1 state legislature postponed consideration of the move: Maryland.  3 states moved forward creating a scant 10 seats geared toward Democratic majority.  California added 5, Virginia added 4 and, by an act of the state supreme court, Utah created 1.

Keeping track?  That's 15 for the Republicans and 10 countered for the Democrats

Enter the state Supreme Courts and their review of these actions based upon the state's Constitution.  2 states struck down the new maps: Missouri and Virginia....

New odds: 14 created to favor Republicans and 6 to favor Democrats.

Then reality struck!  One demographic group after another began a notable turn toward the Democratic Party.  Most notably, Hispanic, Black and Independent voters.  The growing consensus suggests that the 6 new Democratic seats in California and Utah are 100% gonna happen.  Of the 14 remaining new Republican districts, only 5 look certain to succeed. 2 in Florida, 1 each in Texas, Tennessee and Louisiana.  3 others are toss-ups: 1 each in Texas, Alabama, and Florida.  The remaining 6 look like more Democratic pick-ups.   

Dinner: Corn and Country Smoke Ham Chowder

 

Round House/Olney Theatre Centre: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

 Of all ten plays that make up August Wilson's acclaimed American Century Cycle, "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" was the first one I actually saw performed on stage.  It was an okay production, hobbled by an actor who was not up to the demands of playing the title character.  Thankfully, the majority to the action takes place among the members of the back-up band, so in spite of the "hole in the middle," was still hooked on Wilson and committed to see all 10 plays performed on stage.  To date I've seen 8, and by the end of this DMV theater season will hopefully be down to just 1.

This production, staged at Round House Theatre is a joint production between Round House and Olney Theatre Center.  The moment I entered the theater and saw the set designed by Arnel Sancianco I was awestruck.  With the combined resources of these two long established companies, the set made the one I experienced in the previous production look like something someone had tossed together in their garage.  And so my level of expectation was set.

The cast read like a listing of DMV African American Royalty, with a couple of White Princes tossed in for good measure.  Even in the minor roles of Sturdyvant and Irvin, Chris Genebach and Michael Glenn proved why they pretty much have the ability to write their own tickets when it comes to participating in local productions.  In particular, you have to appreciate the nuance of physical gestures that they each brought to their characters.

The band was led by Craig Wallace, who like Chris and Michael, seems to be everywhere all the time in the DMV.  He's a journeyman actor who can deliver any line with practiced intention whether it was written by a contemporary playwright like Wilson or the great bard Shakespeare himself.  Around him were three supremely talented young bucks: Derrick Truby as Slow Drag, Ro Boddie as Toledo, and Yao Dogbe as Levee.  Wilson demonstrates his genius as a character creator through the cadences and content of the riffing that occurs between the members of the band.  Sometimes light-hearted and bawdy, and then inane and accurate historically.  But never is it turned up to its highest excruciating pitch like it is when the bullshit becomes personal, raw, soul-wrenching.  

And this is where Levee rises.  His story of the rape of this his mother is as grand a soliloquy as anything Hamlet has to say.  And Yao Dogbe grabbed the audience by the throat and held us just tight enough to keep us breathing.  The scene closed out the first act and when the light went out you could hear the sound of molecules colliding, because no one had the strength to breath.  If this doesn't garner a nomination for a Helen Hayes Award, then the characters great revelation is true--there is no God.

Finally, there is Ma Rainey and her entourage: nephew (Sylvester) and lover (Dussie May).  Both give Ma opportunities to highlight her ultimate authority over her reality.  As a portrayal of a supremely talented woman who will not settle for conventional societal roles of gender and race, Nicole Michelle Haskins brings her A-game to every scene.  She not only dictates the terms of every interaction, she always gets her way.  When she speaks of her understanding of the world and what she wants from it, you have no doubt that she's gonna get it--at least in this moment, with this group of characters.  And when she performs the song, "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom," she transports you to 1927 as if you were there.  It's magical.

It's been such an incredibly strong start to this year's theatre season.  How good it is to live in the DMV!

Michael Glenn as Irvin, Ma Rainey's agent, and Chris Genebach as Sturdyvant, her record producer.

The members of the band: Craig Wallace as Cutler, Ro Boddie as Toledo, Yao Dogbe as Levee, and Derrick Truby as Slow Drag, rehearsing in the basement.

Toledo placing a little bet against Levee's ability to spell the word "m-u-s-i-c" as Slow Drag looks on in bemusement.

Levee play his trumpet.

Ma Rainey arrives at the recording session late after a racially motivated altercation with the police.  L-R: Jaylen Henderson as Sylvester, her nephew; Kanysha Williams as Dussie Mae, her lover, Nicole Michelle Haskins as Ma Rainey, Toledo, Irvin, and Zach Brewster-Geisz as the Policeman.

Dussie Mae and Ma Rainey sharing a tender moment.

Ma Rainey in all her glory!

Recording "Ma Rainey's Black Bottom"

Dinner: Montreal Steak Seasoning Encrusted Salmon with Saffron Rice and Green Beans