Friday, October 9, 2026

Election 2026: The Final 30 Days, Post 1

ELECTION 2026

When the dust settles and the historians begin to record the machinations that defined this mid-term election, Mid-term Redistricting will certainly hold a place of pre-eminence.  Another unprecedented move thunk up by President Trump and his Fascist minions.  What the initial result looked like was a net gain by the Republican Party of 15 seats.  With a margin of 3 votes, the plan was a way to extend the Republican safety net over control of the House of Representatives.

9 states with Republican majorities starting most notably with Texas drank the Kool-aide.  2 states legislatures rejected the move: Indiana and South Carolina.  7 states moved forward creating the aforementioned 15 seats.

TEXAS - 5
FLORIDA - 4
NORTH CAROLINA - 2
ALABAMA - 1
OHIO - 1
TENNESSEE - 1
MISSOURI - 1

6 states with Democratic majorities starting most notably with California retaliated in kind.  2 states legislatures rejected the move: Michigan and New York.  1 state legislature postponed consideration of the move: Maryland.  3 states moved forward creating a scant 10 seats geared toward Democratic majority.  California added 5, Virginia added 4 and, by an act of the state supreme court, Utah created 1.

Keeping track?  That's 15 for the Republicans and 10 countered for the Democrats

Enter the state Supreme Courts and their review of these actions based upon the state's Constitution.  2 states struck down the new maps: Missouri and Virginia....

New odds: 14 created to favor Republicans and 6 to favor Democrats.

Then reality struck!  One demographic group after another began a notable turn toward the Democratic Party.  Most notably, Hispanic, Black and Independent voters.  The growing consensus suggests that the 6 new Democratic seats in California and Utah are 100% gonna happen.  Of the 14 remaining new Republican districts, only 5 look certain to succeed. 2 in Florida, 1 each in Texas, Tennessee and Louisiana.  3 others are toss-ups: 1 each in Texas, Alabama, and Florida.  The remaining 6 look like more Democratic pick-ups.   




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